| Re: Teaching children to behave (was Re: [I] Smoking areas) [message #252727] |
Sa, 15 April 2006 00:24 |
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In a speech called C051D618.44E31%brightly_coloured_blob [at] yahoo.co.uk,
Lesley Weston uttered thus:
> in article j8vm221o2hh1hvrv88od15pn2sibfq1pa4 [at] 4ax.com, Aleks
> A.-Lessmann at XaXlXeXkXsX [at] lessmann-consulting.com wrote on
> 29/03/2006 10:39 PM:
>
> > On Tue, 28 Mar 2006 23:38:08 GMT, Lesley Weston wrote:
> > > Aleks A.-Lessmann at >XaXlXeXkXsX [at] lessmann-consulting.com wrote
> > > on 28/03/2006 8:17 AM:
> > > > On Fri, 24 Mar 2006 22:51:38 GMT, Lesley Weston wrote:
> > > > > Exactly. It's not just gullibles that we're running out of,
> > > > > it's anyone at all, and without people younger than us to
> > > > > do the work we'll be on our own
> >
> > > > With about 6 and a half BILLION of people on the earth (and
> > > > about 9 BILLION projected by the UNO for 2050) I think you
> > > > may want to reconsider the statement the we are "running out
> > > > of people".
> >
> > > You're joining this discussion late [1]. The beginning was
> > > about how the German government has suddenly noticed that
> > > German people are not having
> >
> > But your phrase as far as I understood it was about we running
> > out of people. And we aren't.
>
> Yes we are, or will be soon. World population will peak in a few
> decades (I forget where I read that) and then start to decline.
No it won't. It will level out, then crash. In a hundred years, there
might be less than 100 million people worlwide.
> If
> it declines too fast, there'll be nobody to do the work in any
> country, not just Germany, because everybody in every country will
> be too old to work.
No necessarily true. The population crash could likely be caused by
disease or natural disaster or running out of fossil fuels with no
adequate replacement or some other outside factor, rather than just
the population becoming too old to sustain itself.
--
http://freespace.virgin.net/b.wakeling/index.html
http://www.livejournal.com/users/sabremeister/
Use b dot wakeling at virgin dot net to reply
"Reading is sometimes an ingenious device for avoiding thought."
- Sir Arthur Helps
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| Re: Teaching children to behave (was Re: [I] Smoking areas) [message #257638 ] |
So, 16 April 2006 21:27 |
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"Brian Wakeling" <bpwakeling [at] hotmail.com> wrote:
> Lesley Weston uttered thus:
> > A.-Lessmann at XaXlXeXkXsX [at] lessmann-consulting.com wrote on
> > > But your phrase as far as I understood it was about we running
> > > out of people. And we aren't.
> >
> > Yes we are, or will be soon. World population will peak in a few
> > decades (I forget where I read that) and then start to decline.
>
> No it won't. It will level out, then crash. In a hundred years, there
> might be less than 100 million people worlwide.
Proof, please. Or at least reasonable evidence beyond "Malthus says so".
And if you _do_ have proof, please explain why I should bother to
recycle if we're going into cataclysm no matter what I do.
From six (by that time, probably closed to ten) milliards to a hundred
million is a reduction of one in at least sixty. That's an order of
magnitude and a half worse than the Black Death. Claims that large need
large evidence.
Richard
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